Posts Tagged ‘Indian budget’

INDIAN BUDGET 2008-2009

Tuesday, March 4th, 2008

Introduction

Major Highlights of budget 2008

Trade, Industry & Infrastructure

Financial sector highlights

Major sectors and Industries influenced on Budget

Small and medium IT enterprises (SMEs)

Corporate taxes & Tax payers

Social sector benefits

Conclusion

Introduction

India has emerged as the second fastest growing major economy in the world with its positive indicators such as a stable 8-9 per cent annual growth, rising foreign exchange reserves, a booming capital market and a rapid rise in FDI in the last year. India’s per capita income has increased at a rapid pace, from US$ 460 in 2000-01 to over US$ 1000 in 2007-08.

Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram revealed the much-awaited General Budget for the fiscal 2008-09 in the Parliament on 29 th Feb, 2008. Chidambaram presented his seventh full budget - two when the United Front government was in power and the remaining five under the United Progressive Alliance government. The Finance Minister presented the Budget against a backdrop of slowing expansion and creeping inflation, which has hit the poor hardest.

Major Highlights of budget 2008

The major highlights of budget 2008, revealed by Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram are:

▪ Tax exemption for women increased to Rs 1.8 lakh

▪ New tax slabs: 10 per cent for 1,50,000 to 3,00,000, 20 per cent for 3,00,000 to 5,00,000 and 30 per cent above 5,00,000

▪ Excise on packaged softwares to be lower from 8 per cent to 12 per cent

▪ No excise duty on refrigerating equipments

▪ Reduced excise duty on two, three wheelers

▪ Excise on small cars cut to 12 pct from 16 pct

▪ Defence allocation up by 10 per cent from Rs 96,000 cr to Rs 1,56,000 cr

▪ PAN sole identification in securities market

▪ Debt waiver scheme and relief to small and marginal farmers Rs 750 crore for upgradation of 300 ITIs in 25 districts.

▪ Custom duty on steel scrapped

▪ Set-top boxes to become cheaper

▪ Implementation of waiver to be completed by June 2008

▪ National Agri Insurance scheme get Rs 640 cr

▪ National Highway development program gets Rs 12,966 cr

▪ Rs 8,000 cr plan for faster power reforms

▪ National housing bank gets Rs 1,200 cr for refinancing

▪ Govt asks commercial banks to add 250 rural household accounts every year in rural and semi-urban banks

▪ States urged to open bidding for 5 more ultra mega power projects

▪ All 30 integrated textile parks approved

▪ Rs 340 cr insurance scheme to cover 17 lakh farmers and weavers

▪ Tea Research association gets Rs 20 cr

▪ Schedule Commercial Banks farm credit 75 per cent

▪ Micro irrigation scheme gets Rs 500 cr to cover 4,00,000 additional hectares

▪ 3 IITs to be set up in Bihar, AP, Rajasthan

▪ 288 public sector bank branches to be opened in areas with concentration of minorities

▪ IT industry gets Rs 100 cr for connecting knowledge institutions

▪ Health covers of Rs 30,000 for workers in unorganised sectors

▪ Agriculture credit to touch 2,40,000 cr in 2008

▪ Total agri production to be 219.32 million tonnes at all time high

▪ Focus on management of supply side of food, market, capital inflows next year

Trade, Industry & Infrastructure

Investment, Infrastructure, Industry and Trade

Saving rate and investment rate estimated to be 35.6 per cent and 36.3 per cent, respectively, by the end of 2007-08; between April- December 2007-2008. FDI amounted to US$ 12.7 billion and FII to US$ 18 billion.

Support to Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs):

▪ Government to provide Rs.16,436 crore as equity support and Rs.3,003 crore as loans to CPSEs in 2008- 09;

▪ 44 CPSEs listed as on date;

▪ Government policy is to list more CPSEs in order to unlock their true value and improve corporate governance.

Rural Infrastructure Development Fund

Corpus of RIDF-XIV to be raised in 2008-09 to Rs.14,000 crore, with a separate window for rural roads.

Manufacturing Sector

Growth in capital goods still very high at 20.2 per cent. Goal to take manufacturing growth rate to double digit through more reforms.

Power

▪ Against Eleventh Plan target for additional power generation capacity of 78,577 MW Commercial Operation Date (COD) on about 10,000 MW to be achieved by end March 2008.

▪ Ultra Mega Power Project (UMPP): Fourth UMPP at Tilaiya to be awarded shortly; Chhattisgarh, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Orissa and Tamilnadu urged to bring five more UMPPs to the bidding stage by extending the required support.

▪ Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana to be continued during the Eleventh Plan period with a capital subsidy of Rs.28,000 crore; allocation of Rs.5,500 crore for 2008-09.

▪ Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Project: Rs.800 crore to be provided in 2008-09, A National Fund for transmission and distribution reform to be created.

Roads

National Highway Development Programme (NHDP): Allocation for NHDP enhanced to Rs.12,966 crore in 2008-09 from Rs.10,867 crore in 2007-08; Completion rate in the Golden Quadrilateral is 96.48 per cent and in the North South, East West Corridor project is 23.36 per cent; Special attention being paid toSARDP-NE; programme devised for the North Eastern region; 180 kms of roads completed in 2007-08 and 300 kms. of road targetted for completion in 2008-09.

Oil and Gas

Seventh round of bidding under the New Exploration Licensing Policy; bids invited for 57 exploration blocks; estimated to attract investment of the order of US$3.5 billion to US$8 billion for exploration and discovery.

Coal

53 coal blocks with reserves of 13,842 million tonnes allotted during April-January 2007-08 to Government and private sector companies; new Coal Distribution Policy notified in October 2007; coal regulator to be appointed.

Information Technology

Allocation to the Department of Information Technology enhanced to Rs.1,680 crore in 2008-09 from Rs.1,500 crore in 2007-08; Two Schemes for establishing 100,000 broadband internet-enabled Common Service Centres in rural areas and

State Wide Area Networks (SWAN) with Central assistance under implementation; new scheme for State Data Centres also approved; Rs.75 crore provided for the common service centres; Rs.450 crore provided for SWAN and Rs.275 crore for the State Data Centres.

Textiles

Schemes for Integrated Textile Parks (SITP) and the Technology Upgradation Fund (TUF) to be continued in the Eleventh Plan period; Provision for SITP being maintained at Rs.450 crore in 2008-09; Provision for TUF to be increased to Rs.1,090 crore in 2008-09 from Rs.911 crore in 2007-08.

Handloom sector:

▪ 250 clusters being developed and 443 yarn banks established under the cluster approach to the development of the handloom sector;

▪ Over 17 lakh families of weavers to be covered under the health insurance scheme by March 2008;

▪ Allocation being increased to Rs.340 crore in 2008-09;

▪ Infrastructure and production being scaled up by taking up six centres for development as megaclusters;

▪ Varanasi and Sibsagar to be taken up for handlooms, Bhiwandi and Erode for powerlooms, and Narsapur and Moradabad for handicrafts;

▪ Each mega-cluster to require about Rs.70 crore;

▪ Initial provision of Rs.100 crore made in 2008-09.

Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises

A risk capital fund being created in the Small Industries and Development Bank of India (SIDBI); Credit Guarantee Trust with SIDBI had extended guarantees to 89,129 units for an amount of Rs.2,479 crore as on January 31, 2008; SIDBI to reduce the guarantee fee from 1.5 per cent to 1 per cent and the annual service fee from 0.75 per cent to 0.5 per cent for loans up to Rs.5 lakhs.

Foreign Trade

Relief given to exporters in three tranches amounting to over Rs.8,000 crore; Interest cost of sterilization through market stabilization bonds (MSS), which is in a sense, subsidy to the export sector, estimated at Rs.8,351 crore for the year 2007-08.

 

Financial sector highlights

 

Financial Inclusion

Two recommendations of the Committee on Financial Inclusion proposed to be accepted viz

(i) to advise commercial banks, including RRBs, to add at least 250 rural household accounts every year at each of their rural and semi-urban branches;

(ii) to allow individuals such as retired bank officers, ex-servicemen etc to be appointed as business facilitator or business correspondent or credit counselor; banks to be encouraged to embrace concept of Total Financial

Inclusion

Government to request all scheduled commercial banks to follow the example set by some public sector banks and meet the entire credit requirements of SHG members, namely, income generation activities, social needs like housing, education, marriage etc., and debt swapping.

(i) Fund of Rs.5,000 crore to be created in NABARD to enhance its refinance operations to short term cooperative credit institutions;

(ii) Two funds of Rs.2,000 crore each to be created in SIDBI - one for risk capital financing and other for enhancing refinance capability to the MSME sector.

(iii) Fund of Rs.1,200 crore to be created in NHB to enhance its refinance operations in the rural housing sector.

These funds are to be governed by the general guidelines that are now applicable to RIDF with some modifications.

Differential Rate of Interest (DRI) scheme:

Borrower’s eligibility criteria for loan under the DRI scheme to the weaker sections of the community engaged in gainful occupations enhanced.

Capital Markets

▪ Measures to expand the market for corporate bonds: Exchange-traded currency and interest rate futures to be launched and transparent credit derivatives market to be developed with appropriate safeguards; Tradability of domestic convertible bonds to be enhanced through the mechanism of enabling investors to separate the embedded equity option from the convertible bond, and trade it separately; Development of a market-based system for classifying financial instruments based on their complexity and implicit risks to be encouraged.

▪ Permanent Account Number (PAN): Requirement of PAN extended to all transactions in the financial market subject to suitable threshold exemption limits.

▪ National market for securities: Empowered Committee of State Finance Ministers to be requested to work with the Central Government to create pan Indian market for securities that will expand the market base and enhance the revenues of the State Governments.

 

TAX PROPOSALS

▪ Tax to GDP ratio that was 9.2 per cent in 2003-04, set to rise to 12.5 per cent at the end of 2007-08.

▪ Set to achieve the Budget Estimates of indirect taxes and exceed the Budget Estimates of direct taxes.

 

Indirect Taxes

 

Customs duties

▪ No change in the peak rate of customs duty.

▪ Customs duty on Project Imports to reduce from 7.5 per cent to 5 per cent; 4 per cent special CVD to be imposed on a few specified projects in the power sector.

▪ Customs duty being reduced on steel melting scrap and aluminium scrap from 5 per cent to nil.

▪ Customs duty to be reduced from 10 per cent to 5 per cent on certain specified life saving drugs and on the bulk drugs used for the manufacture of such drugs. They are also being exempted from excise duty or countervailing duty.

▪ Specified parts of set top boxes and specified raw materials for use in the IT /electronic hardware industry to be exempted from customs duty.

▪ Customs duty on convergence products to be reduced from 10 per cent to 5 per cent to establish parity between devices used in the information/ communication sector and the entertainment sector

▪ Customs duty removed on helicopter simulators to facilitate training of helicopter pilots

▪ Customs duty reduced on crude and unrefined sulphur from 5 per cent to 2 per cent, in order to support domestic fertiliser production.

 

Excise duty

▪ General CENVAT rate on all goods reduced from 16 per cent to 14 per cent to give a stimulus to the manufacturing sector.

▪ Excise duty on all goods produced in the pharmaceutical sector reduced from 16 per cent to 8 per cent.

▪ Excise duty reduced on buses and their chassis from 16 per cent to 12 per cent.

▪ Excise duty reduced on small cars from 16 per cent to 12 per cent and on hybrid cars from 24 per cent to the general revised rate of 14 per cent.

▪ Excise duty reduced on two wheelers and three wheelers from 16 per cent to 12 per cent.

▪ Excise duty rates on bulk cement and packaged cement brought on par; bulk cement to attract excise duty of Rs.400 per Metric Tonne or 14 per cent ad valorem, whichever is higher; cement clinkers excise duty at Rs.450 per Metric Tonne.

▪ Excise duty being increased on packaged software from 8 per cent to 12 per cent, bringing at par with customised software attracting a service tax of 12 per cent.

▪ Excise duty on both filter and non-filter cigarettes brought on par by applying higher rates on non-filter cigarettes.

 

Service tax

▪ Four services brought under service tax net namely,

1. asset management service provided under ULIP,

2. services provided by stock/commodity exchanges and clearing houses;

3. right to use goods, in cases where VAT is not payable;

4. customised software, to bring it on par with packaged software and other IT services.

▪ Threshold limit of exemption for small service providers increased from Rs.8 lakhs per year to Rs.10 lakh per year; about 65,000 small service providers go out of the tax net.

 

Direct Taxes

▪ Threshold limit of exemption from personal income tax in the case of all assesses increased to Rs.150,000. The slabs and rates of tax are :

– Up to Rs.150,000 NIL

– Rs.150,001 to Rs.300,000 10 per cent

– Rs.300,001 to Rs.500,000 20 per cent

– Rs.500,001 and above 30 per cent

▪ In case of a woman assessee, the threshold limit increased from Rs.145,000 to Rs.180,000; for a senior citizens, the threshold limit increased from Rs.195,000 to Rs.225,000.

▪ No change in the corporate income tax rates.

▪ No change in the rate of surcharge.

▪ Corporate debt instruments issued in demat form and listed on recognised stock exchanges exempted from TDS.

▪ Rate of tax on short term capital gains under Section 111A & Section 115AD increased to 15 per cent.

▪ Commodities Transaction Tax (CTT) to be introduced on the same lines as STT on options and futures.

▪ Banking Cash Transaction Tax (BCTT) being withdrawn with effect from April 1, 2009.

CST and a Roadmap towards GST

▪ Central Sales Tax rate being reduced from 3 per cent to 2 per cent from April 1, 2008.

▪ Roadmap for Goods and Service Tax being prepared for introduction of GST from April 1, 2010.

Major sectors and Industries influenced on Budget

Agricultural sector

The Union government is planning the largest farm-loan relief package in the country’s history totalling at least Rs 32,000 crore. The package, which could end up totalling as much as Rs 90,000 crore depending on the final shape of the proposals, is at the core of efforts by the ruling United Progressive Alliance (UPA), and its largest constituent the Congress, to revive agriculture — and hopefully ride back to power in elections due in about a year.

People familiar with the process of creating the package say it will have several components from a waiver of interest on some loans to the complete writing off of not just stressed assets but even those loans that have been rescheduled. As on March 30, 2007, the exposure of commercial banks to the agriculture sector was Rs 230,180 crore. The total value of agricultural loans could be to the tune of Rs 362,000 crore, including loans of cooperative banks and regional rural banks (RRBs).

The UPA came to power in 2004 riding a promise of a “new deal for rural India” by increasing investment in agriculture and stepping up credit flow to farmers. Commercial banks have non-performing agricultural loans of more than Rs 7,500 crore. However, cooperative banks and RRBs, major dispensers of farm loans, have larger non-performing assets (NPAs) related to agriculture. Industry estimates put overall NPAs in the sector at around Rs 31,000 crore. And at least another Rs 30,000 crore worth of farm loans have been rescheduled thus far under various schemes.

Loans that have not turned into NPAs but are “overdue” for repayment add up to another Rs 40,000 crore. The government plans to address this chunk of more than Rs1 trillion of farm loans through its relief package. The package is being put together by officials from the ministries of finance and agriculture, the banking regulator, Reserve Bank of India (RBI), and the apex agricultural bank National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (Nabard), but none of them is willing to go on record with the details given the sensitivity of the subject.

Any package aimed at the agriculture sector has significant political ramifications, especially given that the UPA government could choose to go to the polls before the end of its five-year term. That means, Budget 2008-09 could well be this government’s last. The previous government, the BJP-led NDA lost the last elections after running a high voltage “India Shining” campaign that backfired in rural India.

Currently, farmers get small loans up to Rs 2 lakh at a concessional rate of 7 per cent but government offers 2 per cent subsidy on such loans to banks through RBI. This is not the first time the government has made out concessions to farmers in the budget but what makes the planned package unique is its magnitude.

Finance Minister P Chidambaram announced a Rs 60,000 crore relief package for farmers, including complete waiver of loans given to small and marginal farmers.Presenting his fifth Budget and the last one before the general elections, Chidambaram announced waiver of Rs 50,000 crore worth of loans to small and marginal farmers and a settlement scheme for other farmers that would cost the exchequer another Rs 10,000 crore.

Relief package for farmers

In July 2006, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh announced a relief package for distressed farmers in 31 districts across Andhra Pradesh (16 districts), Karnataka (6 districts), Kerala (3 districts) and Maharashtra (6 districts). The package was worth Rs 16,978.69 crore - Rs 10,579.43 crore as subsidy and Rs 6399.26 crore as loan. The critical component of the package was the waiver of interest on overdue loans up to July 2006 to the tune of Rs 2,718 crore. This was shared equally between the Centre and states.

The government also rescheduled overdue loans to the tune of Rs 9,052 crore over three to five years with a one-year moratorium. And commercial banks committed fresh credit commitments over Rs 20,000 crore to these affected districts. “The first installment of loans rescheduled in 2004 and 2006 would be due by the end of the current fiscal year after the moratorium period is over but the farmers are in no position to pay,” said an agricultural banker.

The government’s concern over farm loans is understandable in the context of a sharp decline in the share of agriculture in India’s GDP, from 41% in 1971-72 to 19.6% in 2005-06 and an estimated 18.5% in 2006-07 and 17.47% in 2007-08. However, in terms of employment, agriculture’s share has declined, but much more gradually, from 73.9% in 1972-73 to 56.6% in 2004-05.

Finance Minister P Chidambaram on 29 th Feb, 2008 announced a Rs 60,000 crore relief package for farmers, including complete waiver of loans given to small and marginal farmers.Presenting his fifth Budget and the last one before the general elections, Chidambaram announced waiver of Rs 50,000 crore worth of loans to small and marginal farmers and a settlement scheme for other farmers that would cost the exchequer another Rs 10,000 crore.

Defence Sector

India’s defence spending is likely to rise by between 8 and 10 per cent in this year’s Budget, not enough to please the armed forces, but enough for a gradual modernisation of the world’s fourth-largest military force. India is emerging as one of the world’s biggest arms buyers, and is planning one of its biggest ever arms purchases, a $10 billion deal to buy 126 fighter jets. US Defense Secretary Robert Gates is in India this week trying to push American bids for that deal.

India raised its defence budget by 7.8 per cent to $22 billion for the year ending March 2008 as part of plans to modernise its 1.3-million-strong military. But it failed to spend around 70 per cent of its $10 billion allocation for capital outlay because of red tape.

India spends around less than 2.5 per cent of its gross domestic product (GDP) on its military, a smaller percentage than is believed spent by rivals China and Pakistan. Although there has been a critical need to augment inventory, modernisation efforts have not been sustained.

In the past year India has cleared a few pending arms deals, buying 347 T-90s tanks from Russia and six C-130J military transport planes from the US firm Lockheed Martin. It also inducted eight British advanced jet trainers into its air force, almost 27 years after it began negotiating the deal. Looking ahead, it plans to spend $30 billion on imports over the next four years to modernise its largely Soviet-era arms.

To overhaul its inventory of ageing fighter aircraft, it wants to buy the 126 new multi-role jets, with the $10 billion outlay likely to be spread over several years. It also wants to arm its navy with long-range maritime reconnaissance aircraft and add more missiles and artillery to its army.

Gem and jewellery sector

The gem and jewellery industry was disappointed with the union budget, saying it would not bring relief to the industry, which is saddled by rupee appreciation. Finance Minister P Chidambaram’s decision to reduce duty on zircons and corals, and halve duty to five per cent on polished cubic zirconia and rough coral would not provide the much-needed boost to the industry.

Mehul Choksi, chairman of Gitanjali Gems Ltd said, that the industry wanted the duty removed on polished coloured gem stones and duty cut on plain gold jewellery below 18 carat. The duty reductions would benefit employment and trading. Sanjay Kothari, chairman, The Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council, said that the budget is not going to give a boost to the industry. The industry had greater expectations.

Education Sector

With 11th Five Year plan giving special focus on education, government has alloted over Rs 38,702 crore to the sector in the Union Budget 2008-09, showing a massive increase of over Rs 9,000 crore. A sum of Rs 27,850 crore has been provided for school education as compared to last year’s revised estimate of Rs 23,191.35 crore.

The Mid-day Meal Scheme which would receive Rs 8,000 crore would be extended to all children upto upper primary level (from class I to VIII) in all areas across the country. Allocation for the secondary education has been doubled with Rs 5,139.70 crore in 2008-09 as against Rs 2,465.18 crore last year.

With government proposing to set up high quality model schools, a sum of Rs 582.80 crore has been earmarked for this purpose during the year. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in his Independence Day address last year had announced setting up of 6,000 new High Quality schools - one in every block of the country.

Tea industry

The mega tea industry in Assam, expressed its satisfaction over the allocations in the union budget for tea research and boosting production. Debeswar Bora of the Assam Tea Planters’ Association (ATPA) said that they are happy as the central government has decided to lay stress on research and development in the tea sector and also earmarked funds for revamping tea bushes and improve overall productivity.

The 2008-09 budget has allocated Rs 400 million ($10 million) for Special Purpose Tea Fund and Rs 200 million ($5 million) for tea research.Assam contributes over 50 per cent of India’s total tea production of 900 million kg per year. The state has over 800 tea plantations.

Textile industry

The textile industry has expressed disappointment at the Union Budget presented, as it was expecting reduction of customs and excise duties on fibres and capital goods, the Confederation of Indian Textile Industry (CITI) said here.

PD Patodia, CITU Chairman said the country’s most labour intensive sector was facing a severe financial crisis and that the cut in duties would have helped in reviving the industry. He said the sector has been going down with each passing day following the rupee appreciation and escalation of interest rates which are the direct results of government policies.

Referring to the allocation of Rs 10.9 billion for Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (TUFS), Patodia said that this amount will not be sufficient even to service the existing TUFS loans. And in fact, there is a backlog of over Rs.6 billion from the year 2007-08 and the requirements for 2008-09 against existing loans will amount to another Rs 11 billion. Currently, there is a delay of nearly one year in disbursement of TUFS loans and with the small allocation made in the Budget for next year, the delay will only increase in the coming months.

Small and medium IT enterprises (SMEs)

Small and medium IT enterprises here are disappointed with the 2008-09 budget presented by Finance Minister P Chidambaram. The small and medium enterprises (SMEs) were expecting that the software technology park of India (STPI) scheme, which has been offering them various exemptions including 10-year income tax exemption for exports, would be extended beyond 2009.

The big IT companies are moving to SEZs to avail the various tax exemptions being offered by SEZs. Non-extension of STPI scheme may hit 3,000 SMEs in Hyderabad alone. These units, with a turnover of less than Rs.10 million each, employ over 50,000 people. Hyderabad Software Exporters’ Association (Hysea) feel that the SMEs would be badly hit as they spend 55 percent of their revenues on salaries. If the concessions are withdrawn, many units might be forced to shut down the operations.

Sagar, former president of Hysea, said the industry was expecting that the budget would remove the sunset clause under Section 10B of the Income Tax Act, under which no income tax exemption would be available for the exports by the 100 percent export-oriented units after March 2009.

Corporate taxes & Tax payers

Corporate taxes

Corporate taxes will contribute a whopping 24 percent of the government’s annual Budget of Rs.750,884 crore (over Rs.7.5 trillion) for 2008-09 that Finance Minister P. Chidambaram presented in the Lok Sabha .There is a remarkable increase in the plan expenditure to create assets. In the next fiscal, the government will spend Rs.243,386 crore under the plan head against the revised Rs.207,524 crore in 2007-08.

Finance Minister Chidambaram in his budget speech said that the fiscal position of the country had tremendously improved. The revenue deficit for the current year will be 1.4 percent against the budget estimate of 1.5 percent, and the fiscal deficit will be 3.1 percent against the budget estimate of 3.3 percent.

As much as 43 percent contributions to the state coffer come from income, excise and customs taxes, accounting respectively for 15, 13 and 15 percent. Service and other taxes will contribute seven percent. All taxes together account for 74 per cent of the country’s total budget, with the rest coming from borrowings, non-tax, non-debt capital and other liabilities. The non-tax revenues make only 10 percent of the total budget amount.

In 2008-09, the government intends to receive Rs.602,935 crore from the taxes, while the capital receipts would generate Rs.147,949 crore compared to the revised Rs.184,275 in 2007-08. The states’ share of taxes and duties claim 19 percent of the budget funds, followed by defence that gets 11 percent of the total funds.

Compared to the current fiscal year, there is a slight increase in non-plan expenditure in the next fiscal, estimated to be Rs.507,498 crore. It was Rs.501,849 crore in 2007-08. The non-plan expenditures take care of maintenance and other in-built expenses involving salaries and other costs. Chidambaram said that revenue deficit in 2008-09 is estimated to be one percent of the gross domestic product, while the fiscal deficit of 2.5 percent at Rs.133,287 crore.

Tax payers

The working class people will stand to benefit by up to Rs 44,000 a year in income tax following the changes proposed by the Finance Minister in the Union Budget for 2008-09, which also provides for a minimum benefit of Rs 4,000. While raising the income tax exemption limit to Rs 1.5 lakh from 1.1 lakh, Finance Minister P Chidamabaram also provided for lower tax rates for income up to Rs 5 lakh.

Earlier, the minimum exemption limit stood at Rs 1.1 lakh for all classes of individuals. For women, the exemption limit has been raised to 1.8 lakh from 1.45 lakh previously, while for senior citizens it has been hiked from Rs 1.95 lakh to Rs 2.25 lakh.

For an income of Rs 10 lakh a year, an individual would have to pay a tax of Rs 2,05,000, as against Rs 2,49,000 under the previous tax structure. For women assessees, a similar income would attract a tax of Rs 2,02,000 under the new regime, down from Rs 2,45,500 previously, while the tax for senior citizens would drop to Rs 1,97,500 from Rs 2,36,000 earlier.

According to the proposals, income between Rs 1.5-3 lakh will be taxed at 10 per cent, between Rs 3-5 lakh at 20 per cent, while for Rs 5-10 lakh it would be 30 per cent. Based on this structure, an individual having an income of Rs 10 lakh would pay no tax on income up to Rs 1.5 lakh, Rs 15,000 between Rs 1.5 lakh to Rs 3 lakh, Rs 40,000 between Rs 3-5 lakh and Rs 1,50,000 between Rs 5-10 lakh. Previously, the tax amounts for these four slabs were Rs 4,000, Rs 35,000, Rs 60,000 and Rs 1,50,000 respectively.

Social sector benefits

The government has pegged the annual plan outlay for 2008-09 at Rs 3.76 lakh crores, with social sector getting a maximum allocation of Rs 95,919 crore. The central plan outlay has been increased from Rs 2.92 lakh crore in revised estimates (RE) for the current fiscal to Rs 3.76 lakh crore in 2008-09, representing an increase of about 29 per cent. The allocation for social services has been stepped up from Rs 75,162 crore (RE 2007-08) to Rs 95,919 crore, showing a growth of about 28 per cent.

Among other important sectors, the outlay for energy sector has been raised from Rs 72,230 crore to Rs 93,815 crore, while for the transport sector it has been increased from Rs 84,177 crore from Rs 68,930 crore. For rural development, the outlay has been raised to Rs 23,831 crore from Rs 21,147 crore, while for the industry and minerals segment it would be Rs 28,836 crore, up from Rs 17,953 crore. The budgetary support for the central plan outlay has been fixed at Rs 1.80 lakh crore, up from Rs 1.49 crore in the revised estimates.

The internal and external budgetary resources (IEBR) target for 2008-09 has been significantly stepped to Rs 2.00 lakh crore from Rs 1.44 lakh crore, putting much greater onus on public sector enterprises to fund the central plan. The central plan outlay for current fiscal will fall short of the budget estimates by around Rs 28,000 crore. According to the budget documents, the central plan outlay in RE has been estimated at Rs 2.92 lakh crore, much below the budget estimate of Rs 3.20 lakh crore.

Conclusion

With an eye on election and last full budget in the office, finance minister P Chidambaram is expected to cheer all around with Budget 2008-2009. It has helped to raise the exemption limit for income tax and increase in the amount of savings one can make to qualify for tax breaks. It also look into providing options of wider range of tax-free instruments for investments and a reorder in tax slabs.

INDIAN BUDGET

Thursday, February 7th, 2008

Introduction

About Indian Economy

About India’s Debt Situation

About India’s 10th Five Year Plan

Union Budget 2006-2007

Union Budget 2007-2008

Upcoming Union Budget 2008-2009

Conclusion

Introduction

India has emerged as the second fastest growing major economy in the world with its positive indicators such as a stable 8-9 per cent annual growth, rising foreign exchange reserves, a booming capital market and a rapid rise in FDI in the last year. India’s per capita income has increased at a rapid pace, from US$ 460 in 2000-01 to over US$ 1000 in 2007-08.

About Indian Economy

The Indian Economy has been growing at around 9 per cent in the past two years recording a growth rate of 9 per cent and 9.4 per cent in 2005-06 and 2006-07 respectively. Significantly, the industrial and service sectors have been contributing a major part of this growth. And this process continues in the current fiscal year. On the back of 8.4 per cent and 9.6 per cent growth in GDP in the first quarter of 2005-06 and 2006-07, GDP grew by 9.3 per cent during April-June 2007.

Money Supply (M3) has grown by a robust 22.5 per cent (year-on-year) as of October 26, 2007 compared to 18.4 per cent last year. The annual inflation rate in terms of WPI was 2.97 per cent for the week ended October 29, 2007 as compared to 5.35 per cent a year ago. Fiscal deficit and revenue deficit decreased by 6.1 per cent and 11.8 per cent during April-September 2007-08 over the corresponding period last year.

With significant acceleration in the growth rate of the Indian economy, India’s per capita income has increased at a rapid pace, from US$ 460 in 2000-01 to almost double to US$ 797 by the end of 2006-07. Further, India’s per capita income is estimated to be over US$ 1000 in 2007-08, and is expected to increase to US$ 2000 by 2016-17 and US$ 4000 by 2025. This growth rate will, consequently, propel India into the middle-income category.

Reflecting the favourable prospect of growth of the Indian economy, the orders received by Indian companies have increased by a whopping 68.6 per cent to US$ 32.48 billion during January-October 2007 compared to US$ 19.26 billion in the same period last year. FDI inflows have jumped by almost three times to US$ 15.7 billion in 2006-07 as against US$ 5.5 billion in 2005-06. India’s National Stock Exchange (NSE) ranks first in the stock futures trade in the world.

Another significant aspect is the growth process of new economy industries like information technology and biotechnology have been growing around 30 per cent, old economy sectors like steel have also been major contributors to the Indian growth process. As India has moved up two places to become the fifth largest steel producer in the world. India recorded the world’s largest sales of mobile phones in the third quarter of 2007, selling 24.5 million mobiles phones during June-September 2007 accounting for 8.5 per cent total world-wide sales.

India has the second fastest growing population of high net worth individuals (HNI) in the Asia-Pacific region, which grew by 20.5 per cent from 83,000 in 2005 to 1,00,015 in 2006. The boom in the stock market has contributed to making India’s 48 billionaires the wealthiest group in all of Asia. Mumbai has been ranked tenth among the world’s biggest centres of commerce in terms of the financial flow volumes the city attracts, in a MasterCard Worldwide survey.

About India’s Debt Situation

As per World Bank data India was the 3rd most indebted country in the year 1991 and the nation was the 9th most indebted one in 2001. This indicates that the debt situation in India had rather worsened with years, instead of showing signs of improvement. On 2002 December the total external debt of India comprised government debts worth $42 billions, private sector debts worth $30 billion . The Indian external debt condition became all the more riskier in 2006, when it declined making the country hold 29th position in the world. In 2006, the nation received external debts worth $132.1 billion. Majority of the Indian external debts came as US dollars, which accounted for 46.1% of total external debt of the nation.

The remarkable increase in the Indian external debt in 2006 can be attributed partially to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the decline in the ECB stocks, towards the end of March, 2006. Though the reserves of Indian foreign exchange surpassed the total amount of external debts by about $30.8 billion, yet it was able to make up for only 123.3% of the total external debts, towards the close of June 2006.

The condition of India’s external debts have further worsened in 2007, compared to the previous financial years. Today, the total outstanding loan on the Indian government is worth 41.57 billion US dollars, among which some portions belong to global financial organizations and some are meant for bilateral financial assistances. World Bank will receive 25.49 billion dollars and 14.05 billion dollars will go to the bilateral assistances.

About India’s 10th Five Year Plan

The 10th Five Year Plan (2002-2007) targets at a GDP growth rate of 8% per annum. Taking note of the inabilities of the earlier Five Years Plans, especially that of the 9th Five Year Plan, the Tenth Five Year Plan decides to take up a resolution for immediate implementation of all the policies formulated in the past. This amounts to making appeals to the higher government authorities, for successful completion of their campaigns associated with the rapid implementation of all past policies.
The primary aim of the 10th Five Year Plan is to renovate the nation extensively and to initiate an economic growth of 10% on an annual basis. In fact, this decision was taken only after the nation recorded a consistent 7% GDP growth, throughout the past decade. The 7% growth in the Indian GDP is considered to be considerably higher that the average growth rate of GDP in the world. This enabled the Planning Commission of India to extend the GDP limit further and set goals, which will drive India to become one of the best industrial countries in the world. Like all other Five Year Plans, the 10th Five Year Plan is also devised, executed and supervised by the Planning Commission of India.

The Chief Objectives of the 10th Five Year Plan are the Tenth Five Year Plan proposes schooling to be compulsory for children, by the year 2003. All main rivers should be cleaned up between 2007 and 2012. Reducing the poverty ratio by at least five percentage points, by 2007. Ensuring persistent availability of pure drinking water in the rural areas of India, even in the remote parts. Making provision for useful and lucrative employments to the population, which are of the best qualities. The rate of literacy must be increased by at least 75%, within the tenure of the Tenth Five Year Plan. There should be a decrease in the Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR) to 2 per 1000 live births by 2007. The Plan also intended to bring down the Maternal Mortality Ratio to 1 per 1000 live birth by the year 2012.

Union Budget 2006-2007

Economy

Total Spending estimated at 5,639.91 billion rupees ($126.7 billion) in 2006/07. Tax revenues estimated at 4,034 billion rupees ($90.61 billion) in 2006/07. The government borrowing seen at 1.53 trillion rupees in 06/07. GDP growth likely to be 8.1 per cent in 05/06. India’s Oct-Dec 2005 quarterly GDP growth was at 7.6 per cent. Government aims to raise GDP growth to 10 per cent.

Income and Expenditure

Fiscal deficit in 2006/07 likely to be 3.8 per cent of GDP, compared to an estimated 4.1 per cent the previous year. Government revenue deficit seen at 2.1 per cent of GDP in 2006/07, compared to 2.6 per cent the year before. Gross budgetary support for 2006/07 at 1.73 trillion rupees. Finance Minister says services sector expected to contribute 54 per cent of GDP in 06/07.

Investments

In case of Investments, investment rate are up from 25.3% in FY03 to 30.1% in FY05 and Equity support of Rs10,901 crore to PSUs and and Rs 2,789 crore via loans in 2006-07. MAT rate has been increased from 7.5% to 10% and credit period has been increased to seven years.

Finance

In case of Financial Sector, FII investment in G-secs has increased from $1.7 billion to $2 billion and in case of corporate bonds has increased from $0.5 to $1.5 billion. And Mutual funds are allowed to invest $1bn in Overseas Exchange Rated Fund.

Agriculture

In case of Agriculture, Agricultural growth is at 2.1% and Non-food credit growth is at over 2.5%. The Foodgrain output is at 209.5 MT. And Rs 944 crore to be privided for irrigation under the Bharat Nirman Project.

Trade and Industry

In the Auto sector, Chidambaram has given special incentive to small car manufacturers by halving excise duty to 16%. Small car manufacturers are also rejoicing with this announcement of a sizebale excise duty cut. In case of Manufacturing, Manufacturing sector growth was seen at 9.4% in FY07 and Grant to Textile Upgrade Fund upped from Rs 435 cr to Rs 535 cr.

Infrastructure

In case of Infrastructure, Allocation to National Highway Plan was increased from Rs 9,320 cr to Rs 9,945 cr. And to raise power generation capacity by 15,000 MW by March 2005. In Telecommunication sector 250 million new connections was proposed.

Education

In case of Education University of Calcutta, University of Mumbai, and University of Madras to get grant of Rs 100 crore each. And Punjab Agriculture University, Ludihana will get a grant of Rs 100 cr. ITIs will be granted Rs 97 crore for their upgradation.

Tax and Duty

In case of Indirect Tax, Customs duty peak reduced from 15% to 12.5% , Excise duty on small cars has also reduced from 24% to 16% .Excise duty on packaged software was charged at 8% .DVD, flash, combo drives exempted from excise duty. Service Tax has increased from 10% to 12%. And in Direct Tax no new tax or change in personal or corporate income tax structure was implemented. 1/6 scheme of filing tax returns abolished.

Defence

Other proposals are Defence allocation up from Rs 83,000 crore to 89000 crore in 2006-07. Govt to spend Rs 11,700 cr on rural employment in FY06. 5% customs duty imposed on iron, steel melting scrap. And to provide Rs 3,000 cr as VAT compensation to states.

Union Budget 2007-2008

Economy

Total spending in 2007-08 was Rs 6.81 trillion. 9.2 per cent GDP growth rate estimated in 2006-07. Average inflation in FY’07 to be 5.2-5.4 per cent; govt confident of managing inflation. Gross budgetary support in 2007-08 raised to Rs 2,05,100 crore from 1,72,728 crore in 2006-07. Of this, budgetary support to the Central plan will go up to 1,54,939 crore against 1,72,728 crore.

Income and Expenditure

Fiscal deficit for 2007-08 is Rs.1,50,948 crore seen at 3.3 per cent of GDP compared to 3.7 per cent in previous year and Revenue deficit for 2007-08 is Rs.72,478 seen at 1.5 per cent of GDP compared to 2.0 per cent in previous year. The average inflation rate seen at between 5.2 and 5.4 per cent in 2006-07. VAT revenues increased by 24.3 per cent in the first nine months of 2006-07. VAT revenue a success and yields revenues upto 24% in ‘07. Per capita income grew 7.5% last year.

Investments

Foreign Direct Investment was seen at USD 12.5 billion on April 2006-Jan 2007. Exports seen crossing USD 125 billion in 2006-07. Dividend distribution tax raised from 12.5 to 15 per cent. Benefits of investment in venture capital funds confined to IT, bio-technology, nano-technology, seed research, dairy among some others.

Finance

The ceiling of loans for weaker sections under deferential rate of interest scheme will be raised from Rs 6500 to Rs 15,000 and in housing loan from Rs 5000 to Rs 20,000. Foreign exchange reserves stand at 180 billion dollars. World Bank loan to TN - Rs2182cr to restore water bodies.

Rural and Social sector

Spending on healthcare and family welfare has raised by 21.9 per cent to Rs 152.9 billion for 2007-08. Spending on rural job guarantee scheme in 2007-08 set at Rs 120 billion; plan expanded to 330 districts. Backward Regions Grant Fund to be raised to Rs 5800 crore. 15,054 villages have been covered under rural telephony and efforts to be made to complete the target of covering 20,000 villages by 2006-07.

Agriculture

Farm credit for 2007-08 seen at Rs 2.25 trillion compared to 1.90 trillion in the previous year and spending on irrigation to be increased to Rs 110 billion in 2007-08. National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development to issue farm bonds worth Rs 50 billion. Rs 100 crore for recognising excellence in the field of agricultural research. Rs 2,25,000 crore farm credit proposed in the new budget. 24 lakh hectares under new irrigation projects. A target of additional 50 lakh farmers to be brought under farm credit. Farmers’ credit likely to reach Rs.1,90,000 crore as against the targeted Rs.1,75,000 crore during 2006-07.

Trade and Industry

Manufacturing growth rate estimated at 11.3 per cent. Small-scale industries excise duty exemption raised from Rs one crore to Rs 1.5 crore. A scheme for modernisation and technological upgradation of choir industry for which Rs 23.55 crore has been earmarked. 1,396 Indian Technical Institutes to be upgraded to achieve technical excellence.

Infrastructure

Spending on national highway programme increased to Rs 106.67 billion for next fiscal year from 99.45 billion in previous year. Tourism infrastructure to get an allocation of Rs.520 crore as against Rs.423 crore last year. Northeastern region will get Rs 405 crore for highway development. Road-cum-rail project over Brahmaputra in Bogibil, Assam. Mutual Funds to be allowed to launch infrastructure funds. Import duty on medical equipment cut to 7.5 per cent

Education

Education cess to be raised by one percent. Spending on education has raised by 34.2 per cent to Rs 323.5 billion for 2007-08.

Tax and Duty

Tax to GDP ratio seen at 11.4 per cent in 2006-07; tax rates to be moderate and stable. And Direct tax revenue to increase Rs 30 billion rupees in next fiscal year. Additional revenue from direct taxes yields Rs 3000 crore and indirect taxes revenue is neutral. Excise duty on cement cut to Rs 350 per tonne based on price. And Petroleum excise duty cut to 6 per cent. Import duty of 3 per cent on private aircraft. Export duty of Rs 300 per tonne on iron ore. Excise duty on cement sold for more than Rs 190 per bag raised to Rs 600 per tonne from 400. No change in general CENVAT rate. Ad valorem duty on petrol and diesel to be brought down from eight to six per cent. Export duty on Cromium proposed at Rs 2000 tonne. PAN mandatory for all security transactions

Defence

Defence budget increased from Rs 78,000 crore to Rs 96,000 crore when compared to last year.

Upcoming Union Budget 2008-2009

The Union budget 2008-2009 is to be on 29 th Feb, 2008. The Finance Minister P Chidambaram , will present his last formal budget on 29 th February 2008 as the Lok Sabha elections are due in 2009. And he called for banks to be more liberal and lenient in case of passing loans to urban poor section of society for education, housing, consumer goods and medical needs, while keeping in mind the fact that their repayment history is highly commendable in comparison to other categories of loan seekers.

Several points that are most likely to be covered in the upcoming budget includes Control of indirect taxes on consumer goods to enhance consumption, Imported set top boxes may attain a customs duty of 5 percent, in a move to encourage domestic goods. Public sector banks might become relieved of fringe benefit tax on their contribution to statutory pension funds, Reduction of duties on consumer electronics goods from 16 percent to 12 percent, Relieve of personal income tax level to be increased from 1.1 lakh rupees to 1.25 lakh rupees a year and Exemption of 5 percent customs duty for liquefied natural gas that comes in use for power generation projects.

Income Tax Exemption From Budget 2008 entails several issues concerning different sections of the taxation system in the country. This kind of income tax exemption is probably to be removed. There are speculations that there would be modifications or alterations in the tax exemption plan availed by several companies. Since under this tax exemption plan, many companies in the year 2006-07 became nontaxable. Because of this exemption plan, corporate sector suffered a revenue loss of Rs 50,000 crores. It is expected that the limit for the tax exemption would also be increased from Rs 40,000 to Rs 1,50,000 and it is very much likely to be included in the forthcoming budget of 2008-09.

The Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry and Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India in a meeting with Finance Minister P Chidambaram proposed that the basic exemption level for individuals should be increased from Rs 1,10,000 to 1,50,000 whereas the peak income rate should be lowered to 25 per cent from 30 per cent and seems to be implemented on upcoming budget of 2008-09.

Conclusion

There are great expectations about the forthcoming Budget, to be presented on February 29. Direct tax collections are at an all-time high, and the target of Rs 3,00,000 crore is likely to be breached. And it is said that for the first time, the direct tax collections will represent 50 per cent of total tax collections. And the tax structure is adjusted, so that the middle-class and lower middle-class segments deserve a sizable tax relief in the forthcoming Budget.